[저팬포럼] Building an “East Asian Community” in Vain: Japan’s Power Shift and Economic Regionalism in the New Millennium

고려대학교 아세아문제연구소 현대일본센터 제1회 저팬포럼

주제 : Building an “East Asian Community” in Vain: Japan’s Power Shift and Economic Regionalism in the New Millennium

일시 : 2011년 8월24일(수) 오후 4-6시

장소 : 고려대 아세아문제연구소 3층 대회의실

발표자 : Hoshiro Hiroyuki (도쿄대 사회과학연구소 준교수)

토론자 : 이용욱 (고려대 정외과 부교수)

사용언어 : 영어(부차적으로 일본어, 한국어)

도쿄대 사회과학연구소의 保城広至(호시로 히로유키) 준교수는 『アジア地域主義外交の行方, 1952－1966』[The Rise and Fall of Japan’s Regional Diplomacy: 1952-1966] (木鐸社, 2006)를 출간한 소장학자로서, 일본 민주당 정권이 내세운 아시아 지역주의의 내실에 대해 논하였다. 그는 특히 일본 정부의 지역주의 구상이 국내정치적 제약조건에 의해 실현 불가능한 허상임을 실증적으로 주장했다. 이에 대해 토론자로 참석한 이용욱 고려대 정외과 부교수는 발표내용을 높이 평가하면서도 국내정치와 외교정책 간의 상관성에 대한 이론 적용, 근거자료로서 인용된 민주당 정권의 지지기반에 대한 분석의 적절성 등에 대해 질의했다. 이밖에 포럼 참석자(15명)들 간에 일본 정부가 표방한 지역주의의 의의 및 한계, 한일 자유무역협정의 이론과 실제 등에 대해 활발한 토론이 전개되었다. 이하는 호시로 준교수가 발표한 논문의 요약이다.

(abstract)

One of the most noteworthy foreign policies launched by the new Japanese government is aimed at building an “East Asian Community;” however, little progress has been observed on economic regionalism since the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) came into power in 2009. Why has this policy not been more actively pursued by the DPJ cabinets, despite being one of the Prime Minister’s favored policies and in the absence of significant objections from opposition parties? This paper addresses this question by elucidating factors that promote or impede the building of an “East Asian Community” from the perspective of Japanese domestic politics. In particular, this paper sheds light on the preferences of the existing societal organizations of land, capital, and labor, on the one hand, and their relationships with the ruling government, on the other. This paper shows that the DPJ government, having been an advocate of economic regionalism in East Asia, has, in fact, experienced strong dissent among its supporters. Groups that have strong ties with the DPJ react negatively against economic regionalism as opposed to those closely linked to the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). Thus, conditions surrounding the DPJ government for promoting East Asian regionalism are relatively weaker than those that existed for the preceding LDP governments.

Since the size of “win sets” has shrunken after the change of the Japanese government, the extent to which Tokyo can advance offers at EPA negotiations has also shrunken, making concluding EPA much more difficult. Even though the Prime Minister strongly advocates East Asian regionalism, as long as his party’s supporters oppose it, efforts made by the ruling power remain constrained. This is the reality that the DPJ government has been facing.

Keywords

Japan’s foreign policy; East Asian economic regionalism; Economic partnership agreements (EPAs); Free trade agreements (FTAs); Japanese interest groups